EEPS Colloquium: Roger Creel

I will present work that aims to constrain past sea-level change by merging relative sea-level observations and glacial isostatic adjustment models via Bayesian statistical frameworks. I will first reconstruct Norwegian sea level over the last 16,000 years. I will then infer global mean sea level during the Holocene (11.7 - 0 thousand years ago), which is the last time global temperatures may have exceeded early Industrial (1850 CE) values. I will show that the available evidence is consistent with global mean sea level that exceeded early industrial levels in the mid-Holocene and an Antarctic Ice Sheet that was smaller than present in the last 6000 years. I also present the first quantitative estimates of Holocene mountain glacier volume and sea level change due to ocean thermal expansion.